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Fear and Greed | Market Insights for Week Ending July 10, 2020

Over shorter time frames, sentiment can play a large role in guiding the direction of the market. In fact, sometimes sentiment can become so powerful that it causes investors to re-evaluate their pre-conceived notions. Most of the time sentiment stays in a controlled range, never getting too high or low. But during those rare instances when it becomes excessive, it takes on the art of interpretation.

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Angels and Demons | Market Insights for Week Ending Apr 24, 2020

This week certainly has the potential to be one of the more pivotal ones we have seen in quite some time. Optimism is continuing to grow around the potential to re-open the economy, with many states, including Ohio, laying out a definitive plan to allow businesses to begin a return to normal. Even though they will be operating under significant restrictions, the psychological boost has been enough for investors to start to imagine the “best case scenario” morphing into reality. Whether or not the return to work plays out that way is yet to be seen.

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Bending the Rules | Market Insights for Week Ending April 10, 2020

We are getting closer to a fork in the road as we consider how these facts relate to HCM’s investment strategy. One path contains all the things we have been worried about for the past month and a half. An impending recession with unknown severity and duration, corporate earnings that are expected to significantly contract and historic job losses. Down the other path is unlimited funding and the commitment by the Federal Reserve to support markets regardless of how disconnected stock prices get from the actual economy.

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